Career card

Patternmakers, Wood

Also called: Mold Maker, Pattern Maker, Patternmaker, Wood Pattern Maker

Plan, lay out, and construct wooden unit or sectional patterns used in forming sand molds for castings.

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Median pay BLS, 2025$49,630
Openings a year BLS, 2025–35100
Typical education to start BLSHigh school diploma or equivalent
AI exposure BLS, Aug 2026 Moderate
Projected job growth BLS, 2025–35 -2.0%

What the data says: AI could halve the time on 8 of its 20 tasks, and jobs are projected to shrink 2.0% by 2035. How to think about this →

About this projection

BLS builds AI into its projections where the research supports it: “BLS generally applies adjustments based on this research conservatively, where there is convincing evidence for a change.”

It also notes a limit: “BLS projection methods are not designed to capture extremely rapid technological change.”

On its AI exposure groups, BLS says exposure “does not imply job loss.”

Recent conditions

  • In 2024, 4.7% of people in this work were unemployed, against 3.8% across all occupations Census ACS 2024, all workers in the Census group “Other woodworkers”

How to read these

Pay compared with all occupations BLS median wages Pays more than 32% of 825 occupations
lowest-paidhighest-paid

Median pay by state BLS OEWS May 2025, state estimates

$55k$55knot published

Median pay in every state
StateMedianMiddle half earnJobs
Pennsylvania$55,020$50,120 to $55,920not published

Nationally: $49,630. Shades run from the lowest state median to the highest; a territory below that range takes the lightest. How to read this

How AI touches the work

What AI could speed up, task by task, and where people already use it.

AI could halve the time on 8 of its 20 tasks

3 · AI alone could halve the time 5 · AI + software built on it could 12 · Not much
AI ratingIts main tasks Share of Claude conversations
May 2026
AI + software Read blueprints, drawings, or written specifications to determine sizes and shapes of patterns and required machine setups. Not published
Not much Fit, fasten, and assemble wood parts together to form patterns, models, or sections, using glue, nails, dowels, bolts, and screws. Not published
Not much Lay out patterns on wood stock and draw outlines of units, sectional patterns, or full-scale mock-ups of products, based on blueprint specifications and sketches, and using marking and measuring devices. Not published
Not much Set up, operate, and adjust a variety of woodworking machines such as bandsaws and lathes to cut and shape sections, parts, and patterns, according to specifications. Not published
Not much Trim, smooth, and shape surfaces, and plane, shave, file, scrape, and sand models to attain specified shapes, using hand tools. Not published
Not much Verify dimensions of completed patterns, using templates, straightedges, calipers, or protractors. Not published
See all 20 tasks
Not much Correct patterns to compensate for defects in castings. Not published
Not much Repair broken or damaged patterns. Not published
Not much Finish completed products or models with shellac, lacquer, wax, or paint. Not published
AI + software Divide patterns into sections according to shapes of castings to facilitate removal of patterns from molds. Not published
Not much Glue fillets along interior angles of patterns. Not published
Not much Construct wooden models, templates, full scale mock-ups, jigs, or molds for shaping parts of products. Not published
AI + software Select lumber to be used for patterns. Not published
AI + software Mark identifying information such as colors or codes on patterns, parts, and templates to indicate assembly methods. Not published
AI alone Compute dimensions, areas, volumes, and weights. 0.02%
AI + software Maintain pattern records for reference. Not published
AI alone Estimate costs for patternmaking jobs. Not published
Not much Collect and store patterns and lumber. Not published
AI alone Inventory equipment and supplies, ordering parts and tools as necessary. Not published
Not much Issue patterns to designated machine operators. Not published

Ordered by how important O*NET's respondents rate each task (1 to 5) times the share who say it is part of their job. The ordering is ours. 1 of the 20 have a published share of Claude conversations; “not published” means too few conversations for Anthropic to publish a figure.

Where people already use AI

The tasks above say what AI could speed up. This shows what people are using it for. Its 20 tasks fall under 19 work activities that many occupations share, and Microsoft counted how often each one came up in 200,000 conversations with its Copilot assistant in 2024.

Tasks AI could speed up8 of 20 tasksEloundou et al. ratings (2023)
Its activities among the 50 people ask AI for help with most4 of 19 activities
  • #8 Read documents or materials to inform work processes
  • #36 Purchase goods or services
  • #38 Select materials or equipment for operations or projects
  • and 1 more, in the table below
Microsoft Copilot (2024), ranked among all 332 activities. The cut-off of 50 is ours.
Work activity This occupation's tasks under it People asked AI for help
in 10,000 conversations
AI did it for them
in 10,000 conversations
Assemble products or work aids 2.37#184 0.33#230
Measure physical characteristics of materials, products, or equipment 6.04#113 1.15#158
Replenish inventories of materials, equipment, or products 0.43#276 0.10#268
Read documents or materials to inform work processes 197#8 47#28
Purchase goods or services 47#36 0.39#220
Select materials or equipment for operations or projects 45#38 19#49
Determine values or prices of goods or services 45#39 20#48
Plan work activities 21#55 14#57
Show all 19 activities
Adjust equipment to ensure adequate performance 20#57 4.31#101
Design materials or devices 12#80 5.04#86
Repair workpieces or products 4.07#144 0.68#186
Mark materials or objects for identification 3.28#160 0.80#172
Apply protective solutions or coatings 3.09#165 0.74#178
Shape materials to create products 3.04#167 0.26#235
Maintain operational records 2.92#170 0.49#209
Cut materials 2.75#173 0.50#207
Position materials or components for assembly 1.64#208 0.45#213
Distribute materials, supplies, or resources 1.10#229 12#62
Operate cutting or grinding equipment 0.54#267 0.01#321
Task: AI alone Task: AI + software Task: not much #: rank among all 332 activities Microsoft measured (#1 = most common; activities that never came up share last place, shown as “tied”)
Where the two sources differ: “Replenish inventories of materials, equipment, or products” holds 1 task rated AI alone, yet people asked AI for help with it in 0.43 of every 10,000 conversations, #276 of 332.

How people in this work use Claude

What people in this work made with Claude % of conversations

  • Math or a calculation62%
  • An explanation or answer14%
  • Advice or a recommendation6%
  • Data or a spreadsheet4%
  • A chart or visualization4%

How they worked with Claude

61% handed the task off39% worked on it together

38% of these conversations were about work. Anthropic Economic Index, May 2026.

How to read this

Work activities come from O*NET, which links every task to the broader activities it involves. Microsoft's figures are for the activity across everyone who used Copilot, not for patternmakers, wood specifically. Copilot is a general chat assistant; dedicated coding tools are not included, so programming help is under-counted here. Activities are listed by how many of this occupation's tasks fall under them.

The task ratings say whether AI could halve the time a task takes: on its own (“AI alone”), or with software built on it (“AI + software”). They were made by people in 2023 (Eloundou et al.). Claude's share is the task's share of all Claude.ai conversations in May 2026; Anthropic doesn't publish a task with too few conversations. None of these add up to the BLS exposure group, which combines five research measures.

More in the Guide: task ratings · task order · work activities · Copilot figures · Claude

High exposure doesn't mean fewer jobs

BLS projects most occupations in its two most exposed groups to grow: 141 of 206 rated Very high and 165 of 206 rated High. Each dot is one of the 831 occupations BLS rates.

AI exposure and projected job growth, 831 occupationsLow exposure: 134 of 213 occupations projected to grow. Moderate exposure: 151 of 206 occupations projected to grow. High exposure: 165 of 206 occupations projected to grow. Very high exposure: 141 of 206 occupations projected to grow.-20%-15%-10%-5%0%+5%+10%+15%+20%+25%Low134 of 213 growingModerate151 of 206 growingHigh165 of 206 growingVery high141 of 206 growing11 occupations outside −20% to +25% are drawn at the edge. Click a dot to see that occupation.Patternmakers, wood: -2.0%Patternmakers, WoodAI exposure and projected job growth, 831 occupationsLow exposure: 134 of 213 occupations projected to grow. Moderate exposure: 151 of 206 occupations projected to grow. High exposure: 165 of 206 occupations projected to grow. Very high exposure: 141 of 206 occupations projected to grow.-20%-15%-10%-5%0%+5%+10%+15%+20%+25%Low134 of 213Moderate151 of 206High165 of 206Very high141 of 20611 occupations outside −20% to +25% are drawn at the edge. Tap a dot.Patternmakers, wood: -2.0%Patternmakers, Wood

Career moves into and out of this occupation

From moves between occupations found in online resumes, 2002–2016. Career changes only: a first job after school isn't a move.

Where people moved in from

of 31 moves in

Resumes over-represent younger, white-collar job-seekers and moves into management. Schubert, Stansbury and Taska (resume data).

Education and training for the occupation

Education people in it hold

O*NET survey of workers in this occupation

  • 1% less than high school
  • 57% high school
  • 26% postsecondary certificate
  • 16% some college

O*NET 31.0 survey of workers in this occupation · 29 people answered.

Census survey (American Community Survey)

  • 18% less than high school
  • 36% high school
  • 22% some college
  • 8% associate's
  • 13% bachelor's
  • 3% master's

Census ACS 2024, all workers in the Census group “Other woodworkers” · 339 people surveyed.

Why the two can differ

O*NET asks about 20 people in each occupation, which makes its shares uncertain, but it reports the exact occupation and counts certificates. The Census survey reaches thousands, but it groups some occupations together and counts degrees only. More in the Guide

Median pay by highest degree full-time, year-round · Census ACS 2024, all workers in the Census group “Other woodworkers”

Programs that prepare people for it (NCES)
1 program: Cabinetmaking and Millwork.

Jobs that require a credential BLS Occupational Requirements Survey 2023

BLS publishes no credential figures for this occupation.

Look up certifications, training and licenses U.S. Department of Labor

These open in a new tab and send only the occupation's public code. More in the Guide

See where your own career could go Start by uploading your resume Browse careers

BLS AI exposure categories (Aug 2026) · BLS Employment Projections 2025–35 · O*NET 31.0 · Task ratings: Eloundou et al., Science (2024) · Microsoft "Working with AI" v1.1 · Anthropic Economic Index (2026-06-26) · Schubert, Stansbury and Taska · NCES CIP–SOC · Census ACS 2024 · BLS JOLTS

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