First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives
Also called: Lieutenant, Patrol Sergeant, Police Captain, Police SergeantDirectly supervise and coordinate activities of members of police force.
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What the data says: AI could halve the time on 11 of its 20 tasks, yet jobs are projected to grow 3.3% by 2035. How to think about this →
About this projection
BLS builds AI into its projections where the research supports it: “BLS generally applies adjustments based on this research conservatively, where there is convincing evidence for a change.”
It also notes a limit: “BLS projection methods are not designed to capture extremely rapid technological change.”
On its AI exposure groups, BLS says exposure “does not imply job loss.”
Recent conditions
- In 2024, 0.8% of people in this work were unemployed, against 3.8% across all occupations Census ACS 2024
- From Sep 2025 to Aug 2026, 4.3 hires for every 10 job openings in government, which employs about 97% of people in this work, against 7.3 across all industries BLS JOLTS
One box per opening, filled for each hire; hires beyond the openings are added in a lighter shade. Higher can mean openings get filled, or that people leave often; lower, that jobs go unfilled, or hiring is slow.4.3 this industry7.3 all industries
Median pay by state BLS OEWS May 2025, state estimates
Tap a state for its figures.
Median pay in every state
| State | Median | Middle half earn | Jobs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | $75,970 | $61,330 to $95,860 | 1,900 |
| Alaska | $137,320 | $100,040 to $170,250 | 320 |
| Arizona | $104,850 | $94,320 to $126,330 | 2,790 |
| Arkansas | $62,290 | $50,100 to $80,980 | 2,100 |
| California | $163,960 | $135,170 to $190,130 | 13,200 |
| Colorado | $126,810 | $116,750 to $133,400 | 2,790 |
| Connecticut | $109,360 | $99,890 to $123,710 | 2,240 |
| Delaware | $131,080 | $114,100 to $163,650 | 410 |
| District of Columbia | $134,760 | $108,810 to $195,190 | 1,230 |
| Florida | $100,880 | $81,040 to $126,320 | 9,900 |
| Georgia | $80,120 | $65,440 to $97,040 | 7,910 |
| Hawaii | $140,590 | $112,860 to $140,590 | 700 |
| Idaho | $94,920 | $80,160 to $120,270 | 930 |
| Illinois | $135,080 | $106,430 to $135,080 | 4,900 |
| Indiana | $81,540 | $72,870 to $106,700 | 1,700 |
| Iowa | $98,840 | $83,030 to $117,790 | 1,370 |
| Kansas | $82,950 | $63,090 to $106,570 | 2,330 |
| Kentucky | $80,390 | $67,840 to $105,490 | 1,600 |
| Louisiana | $70,470 | $55,890 to $77,320 | 3,120 |
| Maine | $92,350 | $83,400 to $100,500 | 440 |
| Maryland | $120,700 | $99,390 to $134,600 | 6,700 |
| Massachusetts | $104,320 | $91,570 to $128,370 | 5,540 |
| Michigan | $98,140 | $81,580 to $103,320 | 3,290 |
| Minnesota | $118,750 | $99,300 to $127,280 | 2,870 |
| Mississippi | $59,860 | $50,150 to $71,680 | 2,060 |
| Missouri | $94,440 | $72,830 to $102,840 | 3,490 |
| Montana | $89,380 | $76,460 to $105,760 | 450 |
| Nebraska | $106,100 | $85,860 to $117,860 | 730 |
| Nevada | $132,100 | $109,390 to $136,800 | 1,300 |
| New Hampshire | $100,060 | $91,300 to $112,640 | 940 |
| New Jersey | $142,990 | $126,670 to $161,570 | 7,650 |
| New Mexico | $92,200 | $79,970 to $108,010 | 1,320 |
| New York | $124,080 | $100,200 to $150,080 | 12,750 |
| North Carolina | $91,100 | $73,950 to $105,110 | 4,820 |
| North Dakota | $98,300 | $85,710 to $106,480 | 440 |
| Ohio | $98,380 | $80,100 to $116,700 | 5,170 |
| Oklahoma | $82,830 | $61,080 to $106,410 | 2,420 |
| Oregon | $122,130 | $104,980 to $132,970 | 1,470 |
| Pennsylvania | $102,400 | $89,400 to $124,820 | 5,690 |
| Puerto Rico | $50,300 | $43,670 to $52,580 | 2,900 |
| Rhode Island | $97,690 | $83,650 to $113,420 | 820 |
| South Carolina | $73,700 | $60,960 to $96,000 | 1,560 |
| South Dakota | $87,810 | $75,370 to $119,170 | 190 |
| Tennessee | $74,770 | $59,260 to $94,990 | 4,430 |
| Texas | $111,000 | $91,160 to $124,750 | 5,540 |
| Utah | $110,500 | $97,200 to $123,530 | 1,360 |
| Vermont | $99,280 | $84,270 to $114,800 | 210 |
| Virgin Islands | $82,380 | $72,760 to $90,340 | 100 |
| Virginia | $101,230 | $80,320 to $130,250 | 3,750 |
| Washington | $136,280 | $125,800 to $161,310 | 2,750 |
| West Virginia | $74,280 | $64,490 to $78,930 | 490 |
| Wisconsin | $97,120 | $87,640 to $116,570 | 2,080 |
| Wyoming | $91,400 | $78,410 to $99,720 | 430 |
Nationally: $106,040. Shades run from the lowest state median to the highest; a territory below that range takes the lightest. How to read this
How AI touches the work
What AI could speed up, task by task, and where people already use it.
AI could halve the time on 11 of its 20 tasks
| AI rating | Its main tasks | Share of Claude conversations May 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Not much | Explain police operations to subordinates to assist them in performing their job duties. | Not published |
| AI + software | Inform personnel of changes in regulations and policies, implications of new or amended laws, and new techniques of police work. | under 0.01% |
| AI alone | Prepare work schedules and assign duties to subordinates. | Not published |
| AI + software | Maintain logs, prepare reports, and direct the preparation, handling, and maintenance of departmental records. | under 0.01% |
| AI + software | Supervise and coordinate the investigation of criminal cases, offering guidance and expertise to investigators, and ensuring that procedures are conducted in accordance with laws and regulations. | Not published |
| AI + software | Direct collection, preparation, and handling of evidence and personal property of prisoners. | Not published |
See all 20 tasks
| Not much | Train staff in proper police work procedures. | Not published |
| Not much | Investigate and resolve personnel problems within organization and charges of misconduct against staff. | Not published |
| Not much | Discipline staff for violation of department rules and regulations. | Not published |
| Not much | Cooperate with court personnel and officials from other law enforcement agencies and testify in court, as necessary. | Not published |
| AI + software | Monitor and evaluate the job performance of subordinates, and authorize promotions and transfers. | Not published |
| AI + software | Review contents of written orders to ensure adherence to legal requirements. | 0.01% |
| Not much | Conduct raids and order detention of witnesses and suspects for questioning. | Not published |
| Not much | Inspect facilities, supplies, vehicles, and equipment to ensure conformance to standards. | Not published |
| AI alone | Meet with civic, educational, and community groups to develop community programs and events, and to discuss law enforcement subjects. | Not published |
| Not much | Requisition and issue equipment and supplies. | Not published |
| Not much | Direct release or transfer of prisoners. | Not published |
| AI + software | Develop, implement, and revise departmental policies and procedures. | 0.01% |
| AI alone | Prepare news releases and respond to police correspondence. | Not published |
| AI + software | Prepare budgets and manage expenditures of department funds. | Not published |
Ordered by how important O*NET's respondents rate each task (1 to 5) times the share who say it is part of their job. The ordering is ours. 4 of the 20 have a published share of Claude conversations; “not published” means too few conversations for Anthropic to publish a figure.
Where people already use AI
The tasks above say what AI could speed up. This shows what people are using it for. Its 20 tasks fall under 18 work activities that many occupations share, and Microsoft counted how often each one came up in 200,000 conversations with its Copilot assistant in 2024.
- #12 Explain regulations, policies, or procedures
| Work activity | This occupation's tasks under it | People asked AI for help in 10,000 conversations |
AI did it for them in 10,000 conversations |
|---|---|---|---|
| Direct legal activities | |||
| Coordinate activities with clients, agencies, or organizations | |||
| Train others on operational or work procedures | |||
| Explain regulations, policies, or procedures | |||
| Examine materials or documentation for accuracy or compliance | |||
| Maintain safety or security | |||
| Prepare reports of operational or procedural activities | |||
| Maintain operational records |
Show all 18 activities
| Inspect facilities or equipment | |||
| Develop organizational policies, systems, or processes | |||
| Evaluate personnel capabilities or performance | |||
| Assign work to others | |||
| Inspect commercial, industrial, or production systems or equipment | |||
| Mediate disputes | |||
| Record information about legal matters | |||
| Replenish inventories of materials, equipment, or products | |||
| Process forensic or legal evidence | |||
| Present information in legal proceedings |
How people in this work use Claude
What people in this work made with Claude % of conversations
- A document or report60%
- An analysis or summary9%
- An email or message5%
- Data or a spreadsheet4%
- An explanation or answer3%
How they worked with Claude
87% of these conversations were about work. Anthropic Economic Index, May 2026.
How to read this
Work activities come from O*NET, which links every task to the broader activities it involves. Microsoft's figures are for the activity across everyone who used Copilot, not for first-line supervisors of police and detectives specifically. Copilot is a general chat assistant; dedicated coding tools are not included, so programming help is under-counted here. Activities are listed by how many of this occupation's tasks fall under them.
The task ratings say whether AI could halve the time a task takes: on its own (“AI alone”), or with software built on it (“AI + software”). They were made by people in 2023 (Eloundou et al.). Claude's share is the task's share of all Claude.ai conversations in May 2026; Anthropic doesn't publish a task with too few conversations. None of these add up to the BLS exposure group, which combines five research measures.
More in the Guide: task ratings · task order · work activities · Copilot figures · Claude
High exposure doesn't mean fewer jobs
BLS projects most occupations in its two most exposed groups to grow: 141 of 206 rated Very high and 165 of 206 rated High. Each dot is one of the 831 occupations BLS rates.
Career moves into and out of this occupation
From moves between occupations found in online resumes, 2002–2016. Career changes only: a first job after school isn't a move.
Where people moved next
of 114,652 moves out
- 1 Managers, All Other (2010 group) an older group BLS has since split; no exposure group today 10%
- 2 Postsecondary Teachers, All Other Very high +2.0% 5%
- 3 Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers High +3.5% 4%
- 4 General and Operations Managers High +5.0% 4%
- 5 Chief Executives Very high +3.2% 4%
Where people moved in from
of 107,481 moves in
- 1 Managers, All Other (2010 group) an older group BLS has since split; no exposure group today 9%
- 2 Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers High +3.5% 6%
- 3 Security Guards Moderate +0.9% 4%
- 4 General and Operations Managers High +5.0% 3%
- 5 Detectives and Criminal Investigators High +0.2% 2%
Resumes over-represent younger, white-collar job-seekers and moves into management. Schubert, Stansbury and Taska (resume data).
Education and training for the occupation
O*NET survey of workers in this occupation
- 56% high school
- 1% postsecondary certificate
- 20% some college
- 4% associate's
- 19% bachelor's
O*NET 31.0 survey of workers in this occupation · 26 people answered.
Census survey (American Community Survey)
- 2% less than high school
- 10% high school
- 25% some college
- 16% associate's
- 34% bachelor's
- 12% master's
- 1% professional degree
Census ACS 2024, all workers in this occupation · 892 people surveyed.
Why the two can differ
O*NET asks about 20 people in each occupation, which makes its shares uncertain, but it reports the exact occupation and counts certificates. The Census survey reaches thousands, but it groups some occupations together and counts degrees only. More in the Guide
Median pay by highest degree full-time, year-round · Census ACS 2024, all workers in this occupation
19 programs, such as Environmental/Natural Resources Law Enforcement and Protective Services, Signal/Geospatial Intelligence and Criminal Justice and Corrections, General.
See all
- Environmental/Natural Resources Law Enforcement and Protective Services
- Signal/Geospatial Intelligence
- Criminal Justice and Corrections, General
- Corrections
- Criminal Justice/Law Enforcement Administration
- Criminal Justice/Safety Studies
- Law Enforcement Record-Keeping and Evidence Management
- Critical Incident Response/Special Police Operations
- Protective Services Operations
- Maritime Law Enforcement
- Cultural/Archaelogical Resources Protection
- Homeland Security
- Crisis/Emergency/Disaster Management
- Critical Infrastructure Protection
- Terrorism and Counterterrorism Operations
- Security Science and Technology, General
- Cybersecurity Defense Strategy/Policy
- Geospatial Intelligence
- Security Science and Technology, Other
Jobs that require a credential BLS Occupational Requirements Survey 2023
>99.5% this occupation
45.3% all occupations
| By kind | This occupation | All occupations |
|---|---|---|
| a license | 58.7% | 19.1% |
| a certification | 11.3% | 5.8% |
| an educational certificate | 71.8% | 2.8% |
Share of jobs whose employer requires it. BLS doesn't say which credential. How to read this
Look up certifications, training and licenses U.S. Department of Labor
- Certification Finder ↗ certifications CareerOneStop lists for this occupation
- Training Finder ↗ schools and programs, nationwide; narrow the place there
- License Finder ↗ licenses by state
- Apprenticeships: DOL's list of apprenticeable occupations doesn't include this one.
These open in a new tab and send only the occupation's public code. More in the Guide
BLS AI exposure categories (Aug 2026) · BLS Employment Projections 2025–35 · O*NET 31.0 · Task ratings: Eloundou et al., Science (2024) · Microsoft "Working with AI" v1.1 · Anthropic Economic Index (2026-06-26) · Schubert, Stansbury and Taska · NCES CIP–SOC · Census ACS 2024 · BLS JOLTS
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